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Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+138/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Colts.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

In this week's game, Alec Pierce is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 75th percentile among WRs with 6.7 targets.

Alec Pierce's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 43.8.

The Colts offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.

With a bad 54.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (11th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among wideouts.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59%) to wideouts this year (59.0%).

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.

More Alec Pierce Player Props

Alec Pierce ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 14