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Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+172/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +188 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +172.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per snap.

Alec Pierce has been on the field for 80.9% of his offense's snaps last year, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL last year.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.2%) versus wide receivers last year (70.2%).

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's LB corps has been terrible last year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Colts to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather this week.

Alec Pierce profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a measly 54.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 8th percentile among WRs

More Alec Pierce Player Props

Alec Pierce ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 1