Alec Pierce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Alec Pierce has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (93.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (73.2%).
The Colts offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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