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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-111/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Alec Pierce has put up significantly more air yards this season (114.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).
  • Alec Pierce's 58.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Colts being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Alec Pierce ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in just 55.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 20th percentile among wide receivers

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