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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Alec Pierce has run a route on 83.1% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Alec Pierce's 60.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a substantial progression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 54.6% figure.
  • Alec Pierce grades out as one of the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging an outstanding 11.00 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in football (59.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
  • Alec Pierce has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (82.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
  • Alec Pierce's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a noteworthy reduction in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 3.2% rate.
  • The Chargers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (59.3%) versus WRs this year (59.3%).

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