My Account Log Out

reorder

Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

With an impressive 80.5% Snap% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Alec Pierce ranks as one of the RBs with the highest volume in football.

As it relates to air yards, Alec Pierce grades out in the towering 94th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 94.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.

Alec Pierce comes in as one of the worst WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (61.0%).

Since the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a measly 3.4 YAC.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

More Alec Pierce Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™