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Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/+103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Philip Rivers.

A passing game script is suggested by the Colts being a -4-point underdog this week.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.8% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.3 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.

Alec Pierce's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a material regression in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.2% mark.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.7%) versus WRs this year (62.7%).

This year, the tough Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a mere 7.1 yards.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

More Alec Pierce Player Props

Alec Pierce Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17