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Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Colts.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.

In this week's game, Alec Pierce is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 75th percentile among WRs with 6.7 targets.

Alec Pierce has compiled significantly more air yards this year (115.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).

Alec Pierce's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 43.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.

With a bad 54.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (11th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among wideouts.

Alec Pierce's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a meaningful drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.2% rate.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59%) to wideouts this year (59.0%).

More Alec Pierce Player Props

Alec Pierce Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14