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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Alec Pierce to earn 6.9 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • After accruing 96.0 air yards per game last year, Alec Pierce has seen a big uptick this year, now pacing 117.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • With a subpar 51.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (8th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce stands among the least sure-handed receivers in football when it comes to wideouts.
  • Alec Pierce's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.19 mark last season.
  • This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has yielded a measly 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the best in football.

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