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Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-104/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the Colts.

The predictive model expects Alec Pierce to notch 7.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.

Alec Pierce has put up significantly more air yards this season (128.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).

Alec Pierce's 63.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

With a subpar 51.9% Adjusted Completion% (9th percentile) this year, Alec Pierce stands as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.

Alec Pierce's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a noteable decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.2% figure.

The Chiefs defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 124.0) to WRs this year.

More Alec Pierce Player Props

Alec Pierce Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12