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Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+113/-117).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -117.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.41 seconds per snap.Alec Pierce has been on the field for 80.9% of his offense's snaps last year, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.As it relates to air yards, Alec Pierce ranks in the towering 94th percentile among wideouts last year, accumulating an impressive 96.0 per game.When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL last year.Alec Pierce profiles as one of the most efficient receivers in football, averaging a stellar 10.14 adjusted yards-per-target last year while ranking in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect the Colts to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.The Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather this week.Alec Pierce profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing a measly 54.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 8th percentile among WRsLast year, the strong Dolphins defense has conceded a puny 128.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 9th-best in the NFL.
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