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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
  • Alec Pierce's 92.3% Route Participation Rate this year represents a material gain in his pass attack volume over last year's 73.2% figure.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
  • Alec Pierce's 1.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a significant improvement in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 0.0% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Alec Pierce has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (49.0 per game) than he did last season (58.0 per game).
  • Alec Pierce's 25.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last season's 35.0 mark.
  • Alec Pierce profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching just 55.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 8th percentile among wide receivers
  • Alec Pierce profiles as one of the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a measly 7.01 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 18th percentile when it comes to WRs

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