Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts will be starting backup QB Nick Foles in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
Alec Pierce has been responsible for a colossal 27.9% of his team's air yards this year: 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, catching just 51.1% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 1st percentile among wideouts
Alec Pierce has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a lowly 7.43 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 17th percentile among WRs
Alec Pierce has been among the weakest wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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