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Alec Ingold

Alec Ingold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Alec Ingold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+900/-3200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +3200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Alec Ingold has compiled a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among RBs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Alec Ingold has rushed for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in football among running backs (1st percentile).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.5%) vs. RBs this year (86.5%).
  • This year, the porous Bengals defense has been torched for a colossal 0.50 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 51.9 plays per game.
  • Alec Ingold has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Alec Ingold's 3.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the worst in the league: 23rd percentile for running backs.

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