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Alec Ingold

Alec Ingold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Alec Ingold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2600/-3400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • In regards to air yards, Alec Ingold ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an astounding 2.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • The rushing TD field reads "0" on Alec Ingold's player page this year.
  • The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.5%) to RBs this year (86.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 57.5% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 125.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.4 plays per game.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Alec Ingold places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the lowest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • Alec Ingold's 3.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the worst in the league: 22nd percentile for running backs.

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