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Alec Ingold

Alec Ingold Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alec Ingold Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1250/-5750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -5500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -5750.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When talking about air yards, Alec Ingold ranks in the towering 85th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a colossal 2.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Alec Ingold has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).
  • The Saints pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (90.6%) to running backs this year (90.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Saints, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.6 per game) this year.

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