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Alec Ingold

Alec Ingold Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Alec Ingold Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Buffalo's LB corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, ranking as the 9th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (78.1%).

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