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Alec Ingold

Alec Ingold Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Alec Ingold Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Dolphins, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (39.7 per game) this year.
  • In regards to air yards, Alec Ingold grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among running backs this year, accruing an impressive 3.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • The Ravens defense has been gouged for the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (42.0) versus running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dolphins to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 51.8 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Dolphins profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • Alec Ingold has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (11.0).
  • Alec Ingold's 68.9% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a substantial decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 100.0% mark.

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