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Alec Ingold

Alec Ingold Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Alec Ingold Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Alec Ingold has totaled a colossal 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

With an outstanding 7.9 adjusted yards per target (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Alec Ingold rates among the top pass-game running backs in football.

The Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (38.0) to running backs since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Buffalo Bills pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (78.1%).

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