My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

A.J. Dillon Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-1900).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projections to call 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Denver Broncos defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (38.2 per game) this year.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (89.2%) versus running backs since the start of last season (89.2%).

Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-fewest TDs in the league (0.50 per game) against the Broncos defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 53.4% red zone run rate.

With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, AJ Dillon has been as one of the RB receiving threats with the lowest volume near the end zone in football.

More A.J. Dillon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™