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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
A.J. Dillon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • A.J. Dillon has earned 47.4% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 35.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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