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A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

A.J. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+168/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +168.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

With a remarkable 25.0% Red Zone Target Share (93rd percentile) this year, A.J. Brown rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.

A.J. Brown grades out in the 87th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.43 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the most run-focused offense in football near the end zone (53.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.

A.J. Brown has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8