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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+184/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

With an elite 23.1% Red Zone Target% (87th percentile) this year, A.J. Brown stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.2% red zone run rate.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

A.J. Brown has put up far fewer air yards this year (76.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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