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A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

A.J. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+164/-205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -205.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles will be forced to start backup quarterback Tanner McKee in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.6 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) this year.

With an elite 27.7% Red Zone Target Share (97th percentile) this year, A.J. Brown ranks as one of the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.

A.J. Brown has posted a colossal 95.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.4% of their downs: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

The model projects the Eagles to be the most run-heavy offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 52.4% red zone run rate.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19