A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+168/-215).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A.J. Brown has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 29.3% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

A.J. Brown has accrued a whopping 95.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

With an exceptional ratio of 0.47 per game through the air (91st percentile), A.J. Brown rates among the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to wide receivers this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

At the moment, the most run-focused team in football in the red zone (53.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17