reorder

A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+186/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +186.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

A.J. Brown has notched a massive 91.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wide receivers.

A.J. Brown ranks in the 95th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.55 per game.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Los Angeles's collection of DTs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

At the present time, the most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (52.5% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Eagles.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: fewest in football.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14