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A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

A.J. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -194 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

A.J. Brown grades out in the 84th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.40 per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (75.6% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the poor Bears defense has yielded a monstrous 1.27 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts: the largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13