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A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

With a remarkable 25.0% Red Zone Target% (92nd percentile) this year, A.J. Brown rates as one of the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in football.

With a fantastic ratio of 0.43 per game through the air (91st percentile), A.J. Brown places among the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to WRs this year.

This year, the deficient Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a massive 73.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.62 per game) versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 52.2% red zone run rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).

A.J. Brown has compiled far fewer air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (95.0 per game).

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10