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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Giants defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • The projections expect A.J. Brown to earn 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.63 seconds per snap.
  • A.J. Brown has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this year (27.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (37.0%).
  • A.J. Brown's receiving talent has declined this year, notching just 4.1 adjusted catches vs 5.2 last year.

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