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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

In this game, A.J. Brown is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 89th percentile among WRs with 8.2 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

A.J. Brown's 27.0% Target Rate this year represents a significant reduction in his passing attack utilization over last year's 37.0% figure.

A.J. Brown's 3.1 adjusted catches per game this season reflects a significant decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 5.2 rate.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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