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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -275 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offensive strategy to tilt 3.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

The 3rd-most plays in the league have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).

The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to total 8.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

A.J. Brown has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 34.6% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

A.J. Brown comes in as one of the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 125.4 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

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