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A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast A.J. Brown to accrue 8.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

A.J. Brown rates as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a remarkable 5.2 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.8%) versus wideouts this year (69.8%).

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.68 seconds per play) will have the 11th-worst tempo out of all the games this week.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a lowly 54.0 per game on average).

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 15