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A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.

This week, A.J. Brown is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.5 targets.

With a remarkable 5.1 adjusted catches per game (93rd percentile) this year, A.J. Brown rates as one of the best WRs in the league in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: fewest in football.

A.J. Brown has been a less important option in his offense's pass game this year (29.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (37.0%).

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 14