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A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-116/+103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.

In this contest, A.J. Brown is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 90th percentile among wide receivers with 8.5 targets.

A.J. Brown profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.2%) to WRs this year (72.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).

A.J. Brown's 27.7% Target Rate this year marks a material decline in his passing attack volume over last year's 37.0% mark.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 12