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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • In this week's contest, A.J. Brown is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.1 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
  • A.J. Brown's 27.1% Target% this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his air attack utilization over last year's 37.0% mark.
  • A.J. Brown's 4.1 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 5.2 rate.

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