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A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

In this week's contest, A.J. Brown is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.1 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see just 124.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).

A.J. Brown's 27.1% Target% this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his air attack utilization over last year's 37.0% mark.

A.J. Brown's 4.1 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 5.2 rate.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 10