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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: 4th-most in football.

In this game, A.J. Brown is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 89th percentile among WRs with 8.2 targets.

The New York Giants defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (167.0) versus wide receivers this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

The predictive model expects the Eagles as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Eagles.

A.J. Brown's 27.0% Target Rate this year represents a significant reduction in his passing attack utilization over last year's 37.0% figure.

A.J. Brown has put up far fewer air yards this year (76.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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