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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 75.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offensive strategy to tilt 3.6% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.

The 3rd-most plays in the league have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).

The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to total 8.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

A.J. Brown has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 34.6% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

A.J. Brown has accrued a colossal 88.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 50.2% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 125.4 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

A.J. Brown checks in as one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.

Since the start of last season, the strong Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a meager 7.7 yards.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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