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A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect A.J. Brown to earn 8.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

A.J. Brown has accrued a whopping 95.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

A.J. Brown's 29.9% Target Rate this season indicates a significant decrease in his pass game volume over last season's 37.0% figure.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17