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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (+100/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
  • This week, A.J. Brown is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.5 targets.
  • A.J. Brown has notched a massive 91.0 air yards per game this year: 90th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 52.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to see just 124.9 offensive plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 53.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: fewest in football.
  • A.J. Brown has been a less important option in his offense's pass game this year (29.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (37.0%).

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