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A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the projections to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, A.J. Brown is projected by the model to rank in the 90th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets.

This year, the shaky Chicago Bears defense has allowed a staggering 155.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 9th-worst in football.

The Bears pass defense has shown weak efficiency against WRs this year, conceding 9.42 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Chicago's group of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a massive 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Eagles this year (a measly 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

A.J. Brown Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13