My Account Log Out
 
 
A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-100/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, A.J. Brown is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 90th percentile among wide receivers with 8.5 targets.
  • This year, the weak Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a staggering 171.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-most in football.
  • The Cowboys pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus wide receivers this year, allowing 10.19 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see only 126.1 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a lowly 54.3 per game on average).
  • A.J. Brown's 27.7% Target Rate this year marks a material decline in his passing attack volume over last year's 37.0% mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™