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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-103/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 70.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo now calling the plays.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are expected by the predictive model to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 6th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles last year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • In this game, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 93rd percentile among wideouts with 8.7 targets.
  • A.J. Brown has accumulated a colossal 87.0 air yards per game last year: 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the Eagles, who are heavily favored by 7.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 49.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 7th-worst in the league last year.

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