My Account Log Out
 
 
AJ Barner

AJ Barner Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
AJ Barner Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-420).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -430 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -420.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 128.9 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Houston's group of safeties has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 2nd-most run-focused team in football near the goal line (50.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the NFL versus the Houston Texans defense this year (66.1% Adjusted Completion%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™