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AJ Barner Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

AJ Barner Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-270).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

This year, the feeble Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up a whopping 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 49.8% red zone run rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.

More AJ Barner Player Props

AJ Barner TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

AJ Barner Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17