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AJ Barner

AJ Barner Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
AJ Barner Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -340 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • This year, the feeble Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered a whopping 0.56 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the fierce Rams run defense has surrendered a measly 0.33 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.

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