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AJ Barner

AJ Barner Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
AJ Barner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-116/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • This year, the porous Washington Commanders pass defense has given up a monstrous 82.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-worst rate in the league.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).

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