My Account Log Out
 
 
AJ Barner

AJ Barner Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
AJ Barner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Arizona's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the 10th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • This year, the strong Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed a mere 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™