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AJ Barner

AJ Barner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
AJ Barner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 128.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Houston's group of safeties has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).
  • The Texans defense has conceded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 41.0) to TEs this year.
  • This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has given up the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a meager 5.9 yards.

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