My Account Log Out
 
 
AJ Barner

AJ Barner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
AJ Barner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the poor Jaguars pass defense has surrendered a massive 83.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-biggest rate in the league.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus TEs this year, allowing 8.70 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™