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AJ Barner

AJ Barner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
AJ Barner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This year, the feeble Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up a whopping 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 4th-highest rate in the league.
  • This year, the weak Panthers defense has surrendered the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a colossal 8.86 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles grade out as the 8th-best unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

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